hurricane beryl and the 2024 season

Hurricane Beryl track 1 July 2024

As a 40-year resident of Florida I religiously follow the National Hurricane Center ( https://www.nhc.noaa.gov ) website, especially the storm track map. I’m still in shock from the 2004 hurricane season, starting with Charlie (category 4), then Frances (category 4), and then Jeanne (category 3). These were all in the span of nearly two months, from early August for Charlie to late September for Jeanne. I wasn’t prepared for the ferocity nor the frequency of major hurricanes that came across central Florida that year. Neither was anyone else; for example we were without power for weeks. My daughter almost didn’t make it up to her first freshman term at Florida State University because of the damage. In the end we left with the entire family just so we could rent a hotel room with air conditioning and hot water while we moved my oldest daughter into her dorm room. When we returned home I spent weeks cutting up and hauling off fallen trees around the neighborhood, as well as helping fix damage to every structure in our neighborhood. We all pitched in.

Now I’m watching this hurricane season open up with a bang as it were with Beryl, a category 4 hurricane charging across the souther Caribbean Sea on its way to the Yucatan Peninsula. Along the way it’s devistating island nations such as St Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada, and St Lucia. St Vincent and the Grenadines and Grenada are bearing the brunt of this storm; reports are in of complete power outage and thousands streaming into shelters to survive Beryl’s passage.

The only reason Beryl’s not making a beeline up to Florida and CONUS is because of another climate change induced disaster, a huge high pressure system sitting over the mid-West and mid-Atlantic areas, causing a baking heat dome over that part of the United States.

This the world we now have, caused by centuries of fossil fuel burning stretching back centuries to the Industrial Revolution. Out carbon output has only grown much worse during the period starting from the mid-Twentieth century, and even with all the heat waves across all the northern continents, we refuse to slow down, let alone stop.

How are we to justify how our actions with regards to fossil fuel usage amplifies such environmental destruction and even death, to people caught in the path of these destructive forces? We can’t.

scary weather over orlando


Last year was the hottest, ever. The average temperature anomalies went way up compared to everything prior decade and stayed there.

There are already consequences showing up from this huge rise in global temperature anomalies. For one example, the crazy bad weather over Orlando this evening as you can see in the screen capture at the start.

And then this weather warning from Orange County:

Severe Thunderstorm WarningBeginning: 2024-01-09T22:21:00Ending: 2024-01-09T23:00:00New AlertTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...SEMINOLE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...ORANGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...VOLUSIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...* UNTIL 600 PM EST.* AT 521 PM EST, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINEEXTENDING FROM NEAR PIERSON TO ZELLWOOD TO 12 MILES WEST OF FOURCORNERS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ORLANDO, DELTONA, DAYTONA BEACH, KISSIMMEE, AND PORT ORANGE.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLYFROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE TO ASMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF ABUILDING.A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR EAST CENTRALFLORIDA

All this on 9 January. I’ve lived here since 1984, and I’ve never seen or experienced anything like this, until today. This is now the new normal, and it’s not good at all.

Links

First results are in: 2023 temperatures were stunningly warmhttps://arstechnica.com/science/2024/01/first-results-are-in-2023-temperatures-were-stunningly-warm/