beryl — the hurricane that keeps on giving

Beryl is still alive and causing grief, this time within the Gulf. And if the forecasts are to be believed, it will re-strengthen into another hurricane before striking the Texas coast. How close it will come to major hurricane status (category 3 and higher) is anyone’s guess.

Because the NHC map never shows major urban centers, I snipped a section of Google maps in that area to show major urban areas under threat. The biggest is Houston, which always floods given any excuse of rain. The worst example of recent Houston flooding was with Hurricane Harvey in 2017. Harvey dropped anywhere from 30 to 60 inches of rain on the Houston metro area before it moved north-east into the US mid-west, causing flooding and tornadoes all the way before finally dissipating.

I should note that Beryl’s Gulf track has been steadily moving eastward every day. When the seven day track first reached into the Gulf, Beryl was forecast to make landfall on Mexico. I wouldn’t be surprised if Beryl’s forecast track shifts even further eastward. It is, after all, a guesstimate at best.

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hurricane beryl and the 2024 season